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Context. This is the second paper of a series aiming to determine the birth rates of supernovae (SNe) in the local Universe. Aims. We aimed to estimate the SN rates in the local Universe and fit the delay-time distribution of type Ia SNe (SNe Ia) to put constraints on their progenitor scenarios. Methods. We performed a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate volumetric rates using the nearby SN sample introduced in Paper I. The rate evolution of core-collapse (CC) SNe closely follows the evolution of the cosmic star formation history, while the rate evolution of SNe Ia involves the convolution of the cosmic star formation history and a two-component delay-time distribution including a power law and a Gaussian component. Results. The volumetric rates of type Ia, Ibc, and II SNe are derived as 0.325 ± 0.040_−0.010^+0.016, 0.160 ± 0.028_−0.014^+0.044, and 0.528 ± 0.051_−0.013^+0.162(in units of 10⁻⁴yr⁻¹Mpc⁻³h₇₀³), respectively. The rate of CCSNe (0.688 ± 0.078_−0.027^+0.0206) is consistent with previous estimates, which trace the star formation history. Conversely, the newly derived local SN Ia rate is larger than existing results given at redshifts 0.01 < z < 0.1, favoring an increased rate from the Universe at z ∼ 0.1 to the local Universe at z < 0.01. A two-component model effectively reproduces the rate variation, with the power law component accounting for the rate evolution at larger redshifts and the Gaussian component with a delay time of 12.63 ± 0.38 Gyr accounting for the local rate evolution. This delayed component, with its exceptionally long delay time, suggests that the progenitors of these SNe Ia were formed around 1 Gyr after the birth of the Universe, which could only be explained by a double-degenerate progenitor scenario. Comparison with the Palomar Transient Factory (PTF) sample of SNe Ia at z = 0.073 and the morphology of their host galaxies, reveals that the increased SN Ia rate at z < 0.01 is primarily due to the SNe Ia of massive E and S0 galaxies with old stellar populations. Based on the above results, we estimate the Galactic SN rate as 3.08 ± 1.29 per century. 

Context. This is the first paper in a series aiming to determine the fractions and birth rates of various types of supernovae (SNe) in the local Universe. Aims. In this paper, we aim to construct a complete sample of SNe in the nearby Universe and provide more precise measurements of subtype fractions. Methods. We carefully selected our SN sample at a distance of less than 40 Mpc mainly from wide-field surveys conducted over the years from 2016 to 2023. Results. The sample contains a total of 211 SNe, including 109 SNe II, 69 SNe Ia, and 33 SNe Ibc. With the aid of sufficient spectra, we obtained relatively accurate subtype classifications for all SNe in this sample. After corrections for the Malmquist bias, this volumelimited sample yielded fractions of SNe Ia, SNe Ibc, and SNe II of 30.4_−11.5^+3.7%, 16.3_−7.4^+3.7%, and 53.3_−18.7^+9.5%, respectively. In the SN Ia sample, the fraction of the 91T-like subtype becomes relatively low (~5.4%), while that of the 02cx-like subtype shows a moderate increase (~6.8%). In the SN Ibc sample, we find significant fractions of broadlined SNe Ic (~18.0%) and SNe Ibn (~8.8%). The fraction of the 87A-like subtype was determined to be ~2.3%, indicating rare explosions from blue supergiant stars. We find that SNe Ia show a double peak number distribution in S0- and Sc-type host galaxies, which may serve as straightforward evidence for the presence of “prompt” and “delayed” progenitor components that give rise to SN Ia explosions. Several subtypes of SNe such as 02cx-like SNe Ia, broadlined SNe Ic, and SNe IIn (and perhaps SNe Ibn) are found to occur preferentially in less massive spiral galaxies (i.e., with stellar mass <0.5×10¹⁰M_ʘ), thus favoring their associations with young stellar progenitors. Moreover, the 02cx-like subtype shows a trend of exploding in the outer skirt of their hosts, which is suggestive of metal-poor progenitors. 

Abstract Dust associated with various stellar sources in galaxies at all cosmic epochs remains a controversial topic, particularly whether supernovae play an important role in dust production. We report evidence of dust formation in the cold, dense shell behind the ejecta–circumstellar medium (CSM) interaction in the Type Ia-CSM supernova (SN) 2018evt three years after the explosion, characterized by a rise in mid-infrared emission accompanied by an accelerated decline in the optical radiation of the SN. Such a dust-formation picture is also corroborated by the concurrent evolution of the profiles of the Hα emission line. Our model suggests enhanced CSM dust concentration at increasing distances from the SN as compared to what can be expected from the density profile of the mass loss from a steady stellar wind. By the time of the last mid-infrared observations at day +1,041, a total amount of 1.2 ± 0.2 × 10⁻² M_⊙of new dust has been formed by SN 2018evt, making SN 2018evt one of the most prolific dust factories among supernovae with evidence of dust formation. The unprecedented witness of the intense production procedure of dust may shed light on the perceptions of dust formation in cosmic history. 

Photometry shown in Figure Extended Data 4 (a) of Wang, Lingzhi, et al. 2024, Nature Astronomy, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41550-024-02197-9.Phase is days since B-band maximum MJD 58352.BVgri-band photometry from 1-m network at Las Cumbres Observatory.SN2018evt_lcogt_lc.datBVgri-band photometry from 2.4-m LiJiang Telescope (LJT) and 60/90-cm XingLong Schmidt Telescope (XLST)SN2018evt_xlt_ljt_lc.datOptical and NIR spectra data shown in Figures Extended Data 2, 3, and Table Extended Data 2 of Wang, Lingzhi, et al. 2024, Nature Astronomy, NIR spectraSN2018evt_181224_spex.txt SN2018evt_190511_spex.txtSN2018evt_190617_spex.txtSN2018evt_200119_spex.txtSN2018evt_20190101_gnirs.txtSN2018evt_20190108_gnirs.txtSN2018evt_20190516_fire.datSN2018evt_20190712_fire.datOptical spectraOptical spectra observed with 2.4-m LiJiang Telescope (LJT)SN2018evt_190104_LJT_G3.datSN2018evt_190131_LJT_G3.datSN2018evt_190328_LJT_G3.datSN2018evt_190520_LJT_G3.datOptical spectra observed with 2.16-m XingLong Telescope (XLT)SN2018evt_20190208_2458551.3570_bao_bfosc.txtSN2018evt_20190220_2458563.3588_bao-bfosc.txtSN2018evt_20190413_2458587.2169_bao-bfosc.txtOptical spectra observed with 3.6-m ESO New Technology Telescope (NTT)SN2018evt_20180812_NTT_Gr13_Free_slit1.0_58346_1_e.asciSN2018evt_20190425_NTT_Gr13_Free_slit1.0_58599_1_e.asciSN2018evt_20190512_NTT_Gr13_Free_slit1.0_58616_1_e.asciSN2018evt_20190608_NTT_Gr13_Free_slit1.0_58643_1_e.asciSN2018evt_20200218_NTT_Gr13_Free_slit1.0_58899_1_e.asciSN2018evt_20200322_NTT_Gr13_Free_slit1.0_58931_1_e.asciOptical spectrum observed with WiFes mounted on 2.3-m telescope at the Siding Spring Observatory (WiFeS)SN2018evt_20190624_ANU_Wifes.datOptical spectrum observed with 2.0-m Faulkes Telescope North (FTN)/FLOYDSSN2018evt_20191224_FTN-floyds-redblu_145742.306.asciiSN2018evt_20200119_FTN-floyds-redblu_133856.906.asciiSN2018evt_20200203_FTN-floyds-redblu_125905.990.ascii